MUMBAI -
With an eye on upcoming elections India’s Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram Friday waived farm debts and cut personal taxes, in an attempt to boost consumption amid slowing economic growth.
In his fifth annual budget presentation, the minister increased exemption limits for personal taxes to 150,000 rupees ($3,755.16), from 110,000 ($2,753.79) rupees, in a nation where only a third of the population pays taxes. He left corporate tax rates and surcharges unchanged.
Chidambaram increased the reach of the service tax, by including services companies like stock and commodity exchanges, asset management firms, clearinghouses and customized software makers.
He also increased budget outlays for the health sector by 15% and for the education sector by 20% and proposed setting up 16 new universities. Defense spending got a 10% increase.
He also cut excise duties on pharmaceutical goods–exempting AIDS drugs entirely–and small and hybrid cars and abolished duties on wireless data cards. Jewelry exports, which suffered last year as the rupee appreciated against the dollar, also got duty relief on select gems.
In the pharmaceuticals sector, Chidambaram gave tax concessions for outsourced research and development. “The budget is very positive in terms of expanding the scope of outsourced R&D, while excise reduction will benefit customers,” said Ranbaxy (other-otc: RBXZF - news - people ) Chief Executive Malvinder Singh. As to whether consumers should expect rate cuts on drugs soon, Chidambaram said, “market forces will determine that,” adding that Indian drugs were already among the lowest priced in the world.
Indian automakers were expecting some budget relief after their sales suffered last year because of tightening interest rates. Loans finance a preponderance of the passenger vehicles purchased in India.
“The budget was about populist measures, but the finance minister has shown some commitment to financial reforms” said D. K. Joshi, chief economist at Crisil, the Indian arm of ratings agency Standard and Poor’s. “He’s given a fillip to growth by reducing excise duties on key sectors like autos, and has put more money to spend into the hands of consumers.”
Chidambaram forecast that the revenue deficit will be 1% of the GDP for the fiscal year 2009, while the fiscal deficit is expected at 2.5%, down from an estimated 3.3% in this year.
Economic growth for the quarter ended Dec. 31 stood at 8.4%, compared to 8.9% in the previous quarter, the government said Friday. Last fiscal year, GDP growth was 9.6%.
Agriculture has “struck a disappointing note,” Chidambaram said in Parliament. Growth rates in the primary sector are expected to be about 2.8% for the year ending March 31. Agriculture accounts for the livelihoods of about two-thirds of India’s population, and consequentially has a powerful voting base.
Farmers don’t pay taxes in India. And on Friday, Chidambaram attempted to ensure that those in need also don’t have to repay loans. He announced a debt relief package that is expected to cost the exchequer 600 billion rupees ($15 billion), putting additional pressure on government finances.
In defense of the spending, the Harvard-educated Chidambaram pointed out that growth in India was still not all-inclusive, and this would be one way to correct the imbalance. “If we can find a way of writing off these loans and providing money to the banks, the banking system strengthens. The banks will have more money to lend and that will stimulate the economy,” he told journalists in New Delhi.
Last year, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh estimated the government’s food, fertilizer and oil subsidies were likely to exceed $25 billion. But, as the ruling coalition faces elections in five states this year and general elections that must be held before May 2009, it wants to ensure the voters are happy.
The markets, however, were none too happy with the budget, after Chidambaram hiked taxes on short-term capital gains, to 15%, from 10%. The benchmark Sensex on the Bombay Stock Exchange ended the day down 1.4%, to 17,578.72. The National Stock Exchange’s Nifty closed 1.2% to the down side, at 5,223.50.
“The measures are likely to have a short-term impact on the markets, but there’s no immediate cause for concern,” said Samiran Chakraborty, chief economist at ICICI Bank. “Though the government is indicating there could be further measures to tackle capital flows if they don’t moderate on their own.” Last year, a surge of capital inflows increased inflationary pressures, prompting the central bank to tighten interest rates. Inflation for the week ended Feb. 16 stood at a high of 4.89%, an eight-month high.
For the commodity markets, Chidambaram added a 12% service tax charge, prompting complaints from the managing director of the Multi-Commodity Exchange, Jignesh Shah. The software services industry wasn’t particularly pleased, either, with the finance minister’s refusal to extend a tax holiday. But Infosys (nasdaq: INFY - news - people ) Chief Financial Officer V. Balakrishnan qualified his criticism, noting that personal tax breaks would take the pressure off technology companies on wage hikes. And the government’s increases on education should help resolve a glaring talent shortage in India.
Consumer Spending No Reason To Leap
On The Move: Citigroup
Read All Comments var url = “2008/02/29/india-budget-update-markets-econ-cx_rd_0229markets14.html”; if(validStoryForRating(url)) { if(typeof rtsUtil==”object” && typeof rtsUtil.addRts==”function”) rtsUtil.addRts(”fdcrtsid”,{comments:true,rate:true,source_type:”story”,source_id:”2008/02/29/india-budget-update-markets-econ-cx_rd_0229markets14.html”,z:”1″,op:”init”}); } else { document.getElementById(’fdcrtsid’).style.display = ‘none’; } function validStoryForRating(url) { var yearIsPost2005 = yearIsPast2005(url); if((url.indexOf(”feeds/”) != -1) && (url.indexOf(”/hscout/”) != -1 || url.indexOf(”/ap/”) != -1 || url.indexOf(”/options/”) || url.indexOf(”/afx/”) != -1)) { if(yearIsPost2005) return true; } else if(url.indexOf(”lists/”) != -1) { if(yearIsPost2005) return true; } else if(url.indexOf(”global/”) != -1) { if(yearIsPost2005) return true; } else if(url.indexOf(”fyi/”) != -1) { if(yearIsPost2005) return true; } else if(url.indexOf(”forbesglobal/”) != -1) { if(yearIsPost2005) return true; } else if(url.indexOf(”forbes/”) != -1) { if(yearIsPost2005) return true; } else if(url.indexOf(”video/”) != -1) { if(yearIsPost2005) return false; // video not rated YET } else if(yearIsPost2005) return true; // default story post 2005 else return false; return false; } function yearIsPast2005(url) { var parts = url.split(”/”); for(var i = 0; i = 2005) return true; } } return false; }